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Tuesday · May 19 ✦

METS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park.

Final

Mets 6
NATIONALS 9

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 6–9 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Nationals Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 45% 55% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 40% 60%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 50% 50%
Consensus Washington Nationals 49% 51% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games