Saturday · May 16 · 4:06 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 83 degrees, sunny, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Orioles
3
NATIONALS
13
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–13 Nationals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 65% | 35% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
26–17
60% across 43 games
Nationals this season
27–19
59% across 46 games