Sunday · May 17 · 1:35 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
ORIOLES
7
Nationals
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 7–3 Orioles
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
26–17
60% across 43 games
Nationals this season
27–19
59% across 46 games