Friday · May 15 · 6:47 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from lf
Final
Orioles
2
NATIONALS
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 2–3 Nationals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games