Wednesday · May 6 · 6:45 pm ✦
TWINS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 75 degrees, overcast, wind 13 mph out to rf
Final
Twins
2
NATIONALS
15
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–15 Nationals
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games