Thursday · May 7 · 1:05 PM ✦
TWINS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 59 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf
Final
Twins
5
NATIONALS
7
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–7 Nationals
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 62% | 38% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 63% | 37% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
23–22
51% across 45 games
Nationals this season
27–19
59% across 46 games