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Thursday · May 7 · 1:05 PM ✦

TWINS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 59 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf

Final

Twins 5
NATIONALS 7

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–7 Nationals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 62% 38% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 49% 51%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 63% 37%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games