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Sunday · May 3 · 1:36 PM ✦

BREWERS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 55 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph l to r

Final

Brewers 2
NATIONALS 3

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–3 Nationals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 40% 60%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 67% 33%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games