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Sunday · May 3 · 1:36 PM ✦

BREWERS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 55 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph l to r

Final

Brewers 2
NATIONALS 3

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–3 Nationals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Washington Nationals 40% 60% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 67% 33% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games