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Tuesday · May 5 · 6:45 pm ✦

TWINS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 16 mph out to rf

Final

TWINS 11
Nationals 3

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 11–3 Twins

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 69% 31% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 51% 49%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 64% 36%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 60% 40% 4–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games