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Friday · May 1 · 6:45 pm ✦

BREWERS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 67 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

BREWERS 6
Nationals 1

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 6–1 Brewers

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 60% 38% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 69% 31% 4–2
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 58% 42%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 69% 31%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 61% 39% 3–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Nationals this season

27–20

57% across 47 games