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Saturday · May 2 · 4:05 PM ✦

BREWERS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 58 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

BREWERS 4
Nationals 1

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 4–1 Brewers

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 65% 35% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 73% 27% 4–2
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 52% 48%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 73% 27%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 62% 38% 3–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games