Tuesday · April 21 · 6:45 pm ✦
BRAVES @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park. · 61 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph out to cf
Final
Braves
4
NATIONALS
11
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–11 Nationals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 73% | 27% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 69% | 31% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games