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Wednesday · April 22 · 6:45 pm ✦

BRAVES @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from lf

Final

BRAVES 8
Nationals 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–5 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 8–6 Braves

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 27% 73% 3–6
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 33% 67% 5–7
Logistic Atlanta Braves 70% 30%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 75% 25%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 4–5
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games

Nationals this season

27–20

57% across 47 games