Tuesday · April 7 ✦
CARDINALS @ NATIONALS
Nationals Park.
Final
CARDINALS
7
Nationals
6
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 7–6 Cardinals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Nationals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 76% | 24% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
28–18
61% across 46 games
Nationals this season
27–21
56% across 48 games