Back to the recap

Friday · April 3 · 1:06 PM ✦

DODGERS @ NATIONALS

Nationals Park. · 62 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph out to rf

Final

DODGERS 13
Nationals 6

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 13–6 Dodgers

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Nationals Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 65% 35% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 45% 55%
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 63% 37%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 58% 42% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

25–21

54% across 46 games

Nationals this season

27–21

56% across 48 games