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Saturday · September 26 · 3:07 PM ✦

REDS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 71 degrees, sunny, wind 5 mph out to cf

Final

REDS 5
Blue Jays 1

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 5–1 Reds

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 46% 54% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games