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Friday · September 25 · 7:07 PM ✦

REDS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 61 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

Reds 5
BLUE JAYS 6

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 5–6 Blue Jays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 31% 69% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% — ✓
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games