Sunday · September 27 · 3:07 PM ✦
REDS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 76 degrees, sunny, wind 15 mph in from cf
Final
Reds
1
BLUE JAYS
5
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–5 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games