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Tuesday · September 15 · 7:07 pm ✦

TIGERS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 70 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

TIGERS 10
Blue Jays 1

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 10–1 Tigers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Detroit Tigers 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games