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Wednesday · September 16 · 3:07 PM ✦

TIGERS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf

Final

Tigers 1
BLUE JAYS 5

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–5 Blue Jays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 51% 49% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Detroit Tigers 51% 49% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games