Sunday · September 13 · 1:38 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l
Final
Orioles
1
BLUE JAYS
8
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–8 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games