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Monday · September 14 · 7:07 pm ✦

TIGERS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 67 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph out to cf

Final

TIGERS 6
Blue Jays 5

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 6–5 Tigers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Detroit Tigers 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 25% 75% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 52% 48% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games