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Sunday · August 30 · 1:37 PM ✦

MARINERS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 65 degrees, cloudy, wind 2 mph out to lf

Final

Mariners 0
BLUE JAYS 7

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 0–7 Blue Jays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 67% 33% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Seattle Mariners 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games