Friday · September 11 · 7:07 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 69 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
ORIOLES
7
Blue Jays
4
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 7–4 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 36% | 64% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games