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Friday · August 28 · 7:15 pm ✦

MARINERS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Mariners 1
BLUE JAYS 8

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 1–8 Blue Jays

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 60% 40% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Seattle Mariners 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 39% 61% — ✓
Consensus Seattle Mariners 52% 48% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games