Saturday · August 29 · 3:49 PM ✦
MARINERS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf
Final
Mariners
3
BLUE JAYS
4
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 3–4 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games