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Tuesday · August 25 · 7:07 pm ✦

ROYALS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

ROYALS 5
Blue Jays 3

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 5–3 Royals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games