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Friday · August 14 · 7:15 pm ✦

YANKEES @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 1
BLUE JAYS 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 1–3 Blue Jays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic New York Yankees 57% 43%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 40% 60%
Consensus New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games

Blue Jays this season

61–63

49% across 124 games