Tuesday · August 11 · 7:07 pm ✦
RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf
Final
Red Sox
3
BLUE JAYS
5
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 3–5 Blue Jays
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 55% | 45% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games