Wednesday · August 12 · 7:07 pm ✦
RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf
Final
Red Sox
4
BLUE JAYS
6
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–6 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
66–57
54% across 123 games
Blue Jays this season
61–63
49% across 124 games