Back to the recap

Monday · August 10 · 7:07 pm ✦

RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 1
BLUE JAYS 2

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–2 Blue Jays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 36% 64% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 64% 36% 4–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 50% 50%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games

Blue Jays this season

61–63

49% across 124 games