Monday · August 10 · 7:07 pm ✦
RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Red Sox
1
BLUE JAYS
2
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–2 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 36% | 64% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games