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Friday · July 31 · 7:07 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Cardinals 1
BLUE JAYS 3

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–3 Blue Jays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 33% 67% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 31% 69% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games