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Sunday · August 2 · 1:37 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

CARDINALS 5
Blue Jays 1

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 5–1 Cardinals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 33% 67% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 46% 54% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games