Wednesday · July 22 · 7:07 pm ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
RAYS
4
Blue Jays
2
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–2 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 62% | 38% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 56% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 40% | 60% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games