Thursday · July 23 · 3:07 PM ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, sunny, wind 13 mph out to cf
Final
Rays
1
BLUE JAYS
3
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–3 Blue Jays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 36% | 64% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 61% | 39% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games