Tuesday · July 21 · 7:07 pm ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
RAYS
12
Blue Jays
2
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 12–2 Rays
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games