Monday · July 20 · 7:07 pm ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 75 degrees, clear, wind 13 mph out to cf
Final
RAYS
7
Blue Jays
1
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 7–1 Rays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games