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Monday · July 20 · 7:07 pm ✦

RAYS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 75 degrees, clear, wind 13 mph out to cf

Final

RAYS 7
Blue Jays 1

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 7–1 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 4–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 59% 41%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 31% 69%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

61–62

50% across 123 games

Blue Jays this season

62–63

50% across 125 games