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Saturday · July 18 · 3:48 PM ✦

WHITE SOX @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

White Sox 0
BLUE JAYS 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 0–1 Blue Jays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 60% 40% 5–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Chicago White Sox 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Chicago White Sox 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games