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Wednesday · July 1 · 3:28 PM ✦

METS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

Mets 3
BLUE JAYS 9

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 3–9 Blue Jays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 58% 42% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 51% 49%
Random Forest New York Mets 50% 50%
Consensus New York Mets 56% 44% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Blue Jays this season

42–44

49% across 86 games