Monday · June 29 · 7:07 pm ✦
METS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 75 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph r to l
Final
Mets
1
BLUE JAYS
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 1–2 Blue Jays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
48–37
56% across 85 games
Blue Jays this season
42–44
49% across 86 games