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Wednesday · June 24 · 7:07 pm ✦

ASTROS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ASTROS 3
Blue Jays 1

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–1 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Houston Astros 55% 45%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 34% 66%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Blue Jays this season

42–44

49% across 86 games