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Tuesday · June 23 · 4:07 PM ✦

ASTROS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph r to l

Final

ASTROS 9
Blue Jays 7

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 9–7 Astros

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 38% 62% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 4–4
Logistic Houston Astros 51% 49%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 41% 59%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

52–34

60% across 86 games

Blue Jays this season

42–45

48% across 87 games