Monday · June 22 · 7:07 pm ✦
ASTROS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph r to l
Final
Astros
2
BLUE JAYS
4
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–4 Blue Jays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
52–34
60% across 86 games
Blue Jays this season
42–45
48% across 87 games