Back to the recap

Friday · June 12 · 7:37 pm ✦

YANKEES @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 5
BLUE JAYS 8

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 5–8 Blue Jays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 36% 64% 3–5
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 60% 40% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic New York Yankees 55% 45%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51%
Consensus New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

44–42

51% across 86 games

Blue Jays this season

42–45

48% across 87 games