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Wednesday · June 10 · 7:07 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph r to l

Final

PHILLIES 7
Blue Jays 4

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–4 Phillies

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 67% 33% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 46% 54% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 52% 48% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games