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Wednesday · June 10 · 7:07 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph r to l

Final

PHILLIES 7
Blue Jays 4

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–4 Phillies

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 50% 50%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 46% 54%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 52% 48% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

56–30

65% across 86 games

Blue Jays this season

42–45

48% across 87 games