Tuesday · June 9 · 7:07 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Phillies
2
BLUE JAYS
3
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–3 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games