Monday · June 8 · 7:07 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 63 degrees, clear, wind 13 mph r to l
Final
PHILLIES
5
Blue Jays
2
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–2 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
56–30
65% across 86 games
Blue Jays this season
42–45
48% across 87 games