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Sunday · June 7 · 1:39 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

Orioles 4
BLUE JAYS 6

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 4–6 Blue Jays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% — ✓
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games