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Saturday · June 6 · 3:08 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 77 degrees, sunny, wind 22 mph l to r

Final

Orioles 4
BLUE JAYS 6

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 4–6 Blue Jays

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games