Monday · May 25 · 7:07 pm ✦
MARLINS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 62 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph out to cf
Final
MARLINS
8
Blue Jays
2
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 2–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 8–2 Marlins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 2–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 24% | 76% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 38% | 62% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 76% | 24% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 47% | 53% | 2–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
46–41
53% across 87 games
Blue Jays this season
42–45
48% across 87 games