Sunday · May 24 · 12:17 PM ✦
PIRATES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
4
Blue Jays
1
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 4–1 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games